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Analysis

Commercial Real Estate: Resilience, Recovery, and Risks Ahead

Commercial real estate (CRE) lending is important to the banking industry, which holds $2.7 trillion in CRE loans. In the pandemic, CRE conditions in several property types came under stress. The pandemic challenged the brick-and-mortar retail, hotel, and office sectors, while multifamily largely held up and the industrial sector benefitted from increased demand. Market conditions improved with economic recovery in 2021, but some of the changes the CRE industry experienced in the pandemic may be long-lasting. The issues facing CRE will be important considerations for a large share of the banking industry. Initially the pandemic threatened to significantly challenge banks’ CRE loan quality, but loan delinquency rates remained low through third quarter 2021 against the backdrop of economic rebound, stimulus support, and loan forbearance. This article analyzes conditions across major CRE property types and discusses FDIC-insured institutions’ exposure to CRE loans, credit quality, and potential challenges ahead.

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    Last Updated: November 19, 2025