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FDIC Banking Review

Figure 9.
Banks That Failed, Multistate and LDM Models

(Predictions of Unordered Multistate Model and LDM Models)
Year Actual Unordered LDM Bivariate
1992 38 21 36
1993 12 5 24
1994 6 5 8
1995 4 7 3
1996 1 1 1
1997 1 3 1
1998 6 9 2
1999 2 2 2
2000 3 3 4
2001 5 6 3
2002 1 5 5
2003 3 6 4
Note: One-year-ahead forecasts versus actual, Total problem-bank list at year-end.



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