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2006 Economic Outlook Roundtable:
Scenarios for the Next U.S. Recession


Complete Transcript 2006 Economic Outlook Roundtable: Scenarios for the Next U.S. Recession - PDF 3.9mb (PDF Help)

Thursday, January 19, 2006
10:00 a.m. – 12 noon

The U.S. economy has brushed off a series of shocks in recent years to post consistently strong rates of growth. However, threats to the expansion are expected to persist in 2006, possibly in the form of new inflationary pressures, rising interest rates, and an inevitable cooling off of U.S. housing markets. Given these challenges, it is never too early to think about what the next U.S. recession will look like and how it might affect FDIC-insured institutions. The 2006 FDIC Economic Outlook Roundtable brought together a distinguished group of economic analysts to share their scenarios for the next recession and to offer risk management advice for bank managers.

Click on the links below to access the introductory remarks of the moderator, presentations by each of the panelists, and the question and answer session that followed.

Moderator:

Richard A. Brown, Chief Economist and Associate Director, Risk Analysis Branch, Division of Insurance and Research, FDIC.

Panelists:

Kathleen Camilli, Chief Economist and Director, Camilli Economics

Arthur J. McMahon, Director, Economic Outlook and Bank Condition, Office of the Comptroller of the Currency

Meredith Whitney, Executive Director, CIBC World Markets, a subsidiary of Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Questions and Answers


Last Updated 03/17/2006 communications@fdic.gov