Chart 4
U.S. economic growth is expected to continue at its historical rate.
Time period "Real seasonally adjusted gross domestic product,percent change at annual rate" Historical base rate of growth (3.3% per year)
Q1 2000 1.02 3.3
Q2 2000 6.43 3.3
Q3 2000 -0.46 3.3
Q4 2000 2.09 3.3
Q1 2001 -0.49 3.3
Q2 2001 1.23 3.3
Q3 2001 -1.40 3.3
Q4 2001 1.59 3.3
Q1 2002 2.74 3.3
Q2 2002 2.19 3.3
Q3 2002 2.38 3.3
Q4 2002 0.20 3.3
Q1 2003 1.71 3.3
Q2 2003 3.67 3.3
Q3 2003 7.25 3.3
Q4 2003 3.57 3.3
Q1 2004 4.25 3.3
Q2 2004 3.50 3.3
Q3 2004 3.97 3.3
Q4 2004 3.30 3.3
Q1 2005 3.80 3.3
Q2 2005 3.31 3.3
Q3 2005 4.14 3.3
Q4 2005 1.65 3.3
Q1 2006 (forecast) 5.00 3.3
Q2 2006 (forecast) 3.80 3.3
Q3 2006 (forecast) 3.30 3.3
Q4 2006 (forecast) 3.20 3.3
Q1 2007 (forecast) 3.10 3.3
Q2 2007 (forecast) 3.50 3.3
Q3 2007 (forecast) 3.50 3.3
Q4 2007 (forecast) 3.20 3.3
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis and Macroeconomic Advisers
Note: 2006 Q1 through 2007 Q4 data from Macroeconomic Advisers baseline forecast